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2026 US House Forecast

2026 House Forecast

Last Updated: October 6, 1:30 PM ET

Days
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Days
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…until Election Day

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231 Democrat (+16 seat gain)

218 FOR MAJORITY

(-20 seat loss) Republican 200

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Most Competitive House Districts

This chart visualizes the current probabilities of each party winning competitive races. Circles positioned further to the left indicate a higher likelihood of a Democratic victory, while circles to the right suggest a stronger chance for Republicans. Use the 'DEM' and 'GOP' filters to view states most likely to support the respective parties.

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D+12 D+9 D+6 D+3 0 R+3 R+6 R+9 R+12

2026 House Forecast

REPUBLICAN: -- DEMOCRAT: --

This graph tracks each party’s projected seat count in the House over time.

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2026 House District Table

Sources:

FEC, Ballotpedia, Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Real Clear Polling, Race to the White House, Silver Bulletin, US Census Bureau, US Elections Project

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231
Democrat

218 FOR MAJORITY

200
Republican

Loading map...

Most Competitive House Districts

This chart visualizes the current probabilities of each party winning competitive races. Circles positioned further left indicate a higher likelihood of a Democratic victory, while circles to the right suggest a stronger chance for Republicans.

Membership Required
for access to House district predictions, fundamentals, expert ratings, and more.
View Membership Levels
View Membership Levels
D+12 D+9 D+6 D+3 0 R+3 R+6 R+9 R+12

2026 House Forecast

REPUBLICAN: -- DEMOCRAT: --

This graph tracks each party’s projected seat count in the House over time.

Membership Required
Subscribe for access to House district predictions, fundamentals, expert ratings, and more.
View Membership Levels
View Membership Levels
Loading graph...

House Forecast Table

Membership Required
for access to House district predictions, fundamentals, expert ratings, and more
View Membership Levels

Sources:

FEC, Ballotpedia, Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Real Clear Polling, Race to the White House, Silver Bulletin, US Census Bureau, US Elections Project