2026 US House Forecast
2026 House Forecast
Last Updated: May 6, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
…until Election Day
222 Democrat (+7 seat gain)
218 FOR MAJORITY
(-12 seat loss) Republican 208
Most Competitive House Districts
This chart visualizes the current probabilities of each party winning competitive races. Circles positioned further to the left indicate a higher likelihood of a Democratic victory, while circles to the right suggest a stronger chance for Republicans. Use the 'DEM' and 'GOP' filters to view states most likely to support the respective parties.
2026 House Forecast
This graph tracks each party’s projected seat count in the House over time.
2026 House District Table
Sources:
223
Democrat
218 FOR MAJORITY
205
Republican
Most Competitive House Districts
This chart visualizes the current probabilities of each party winning competitive races. Circles positioned further left indicate a higher likelihood of a Democratic victory, while circles to the right suggest a stronger chance for Republicans.
2026 House Forecast
This graph tracks each party’s projected seat count in the House over time.